投资是认知的变现。中短期来看，概率和运气会对投资业绩带来巨大的影响，或许能获取很高的投资收益。但长期来看，投资业绩一定是真实投资能力的体现。如果真实的投资能力没有跟上，靠运气带来的财富大概率会因为实力亏回去。
Investment is the realization of cognition. In the short and medium term, probability and luck will have a huge impact on investment performance, and may be able to obtain a high return on investment. But in the long run, investment performance must be a reflection of real investment ability. If the real investment ability does not catch up, the wealth brought by luck is likely to be lost due to strength.
