转载:第三只手(罗德·哈迪斯,含译文)

The first chapter

The third hand after Adam Smith and John Maynard Keynes.

        I in this paper I want to give a new point of view. If you think my point of view may let a person be very shocked and is beyond our predecessors, and I want to say is that this is very unfair, because the two predecessors, who is more than two hundred years ago, Adam. Smith, John Maynard Keynes, who is more than one hundred years ago, the time that my soul was born is later than the time that they came into the world so long, set the history and social change and status quo of all sorts of reference, time gives birth to a practitioner beyond their economics, the public should see it as taken for granted.

        A history of human economics, in short, is the history of the "invisible" and "visible" hands of Adam Smith and Keynes. Adam Smith made the development of the market freedom for one hundred years, but this hand in the financial crisis, the role of market price mechanism) has gone, John Maynard Keynes, the visible hand has to confront the government intervention in the economy, the government since then no longer only a watchman, but to take on the role of the staff, more than one hundred years, just like that. The emergence of the Internet, from the PC Internet to the mobile Internet, has turned the market upside down, upended people's lives with unprecedented speed, and largely shuffled the original wealth class. Why is that? Because the two most important factors for the development of things -- time and space -- have been redefined by the Internet. The information transmission between the end of the world and the cape is instantaneous, and the transaction of goods only needs to be done in front of the screen. The traditional industries, which used to occupy the time dividend and space dividend, are faced with the biggest survival problem at that time. Too many enterprises die directly, and they still don't understand why they die. Shuffle fast, recovery is a big project, the world is at a loss what to do. As far as I know, China has the most successful Internet coverage. In recent years, the failure rate and pain index of entrepreneurs are the highest in the world. The price mechanism and national macro-control are also helpless. The emergence of this third hand, is more than 100 years of market waiting, it should be what? In the past, it was just a trance, the fuzzy feeling should have a third hand, but now, I clearly can be sure, it should be like this: it is direct, fast, accurate to the circulation of goods play a great role in promoting the cycle; It can adjust the commodity circulation flexible pricing power, but set a fixed order allocation mechanism in advance, so as to participate in the economic activities of several resources perfect match; It presupposes the latest decentralized monetary system, making global transactions fast, safe, and capitalized. Should this hand be visible or invisible?

        In 2019, by the hand of god, I call it: the great circulation system of decentralized commodity circulation. It's not a matter of seeing or not seeing, it's a question of whether you can see, because you may see and ignore, rub shoulders with god. It was a hand that could be touched but could not be grasped. Given this sacred mission, I will present this hand in a way that human beings can understand. First of all, it will come to China, a country with the largest inventory of goods, the most urgent need to activate the circulation of goods, and the largest number of weak entrepreneurs. I will gaze at the dawn in the dark, in silence.

译文:

第一章

      承接亚当.斯密和凯恩斯的“第三只手”

        我要在此论述一个新观点,如果大家认为我的观点让人非常震撼,超越前人,我想表达的是,这种比较非常不公平,因为这两位前人,一位是两百多年前的亚当.斯密,一位是一百多年前的凯恩斯,我的灵魂比他们晚来到世间那么久,集历史和社会的各种可供参考的变革和现状,时代孕育出一位超越他们的经济学实践家,大众应该视之为理所当然。

        一部人类的经济学史,简而言之就是亚当.斯密和凯恩斯的“看不见的”和“看得见的”这两只手在挥舞的历史。亚当.斯密让市场自由自在的发展了一百多年,但是在经济危机时这只手(市场价格机制)的作用却荡然无存,凯恩斯那只有形的手(政府干预经济)却力挽狂澜,政府从那时开始不再只做守夜人,而是担当起大管家的角色,就这样过了一百多年。互联网的出现,从PC互联网到移动互联网,让市场发生了翻天覆地的变化,用前所未有的速度颠覆了人们的生活,很大程度的洗牌了原来的财富阶层。为什么?因为事物发展最重要的两个因素——时间和空间,已经被互联网给重新定义了,天涯与海角的信息传递是瞬间,商品的交易只需要在屏幕前。原来占着时间红利和空间红利的传统行业一时间面临最大的生存问题,太多企业的直接死去,而且还不明白为什么会死去。洗牌快,复苏却是个大工程,全球都束手无策。就我所知互联网覆盖得最成功的中国,这几年创业者的失败率和痛苦指数却是全球最高,价格机制和国家宏观调控对此也束手无策,市场渴望“第三只手”。这第三只手的出现,是一百多年来市场的等待,它应该是怎样的?以前只是恍恍惚惚,混沌模糊的感觉应该有第三只手,而现在,我分明清晰的能够确定,它应该是这样的:它直接、快速、精准的能够对商品流通起到极大的循坏推动作用;它可调节的给了商品流通灵活的定价权,却提前设定好了固定的订单分配机制,让参与经济活动的几方资源完美匹配;它预设了最新的去中心化的货币体系,让全球化交易变得快速、安全、并且资本化。这只手应该是看得见的还是看不见的?

        2019年天降上帝之手,我称之为:去中心化的商品流通大循环系统。它不是看得见或看不见的问题,而是你是否看得懂的问题,因为你可能看到了也会无视,与上帝擦肩。这是一只摸得到却抓不住的手,前所未有,绝无仅有。天赋这神圣的使命,我把这只手用人类能够理解的方式呈现出来,首先会在中国,一个商品库存最大、商品流通最亟待激活、创业疲软人数最大的国度降临。我将静静、默默的在黑夜中凝视这个黎明。

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