Extreme values modelling 绪论

极端值建模和估算是各种应用领域的重要挑战,例如环境,水文,金融,精算科学。

样本的极端部分可能非常重要。也就是说,它可能表现出更大的潜在风险,例如高浓度的空气污染物,洪水,极端索赔规模。

一般而言,极端之建模有三个方面:

  1. Univariate Extreme Value Theory:
    单变量极值理论。

  2. Bivariate Extreme Value Theory:
    双变量极值理论

  1. Multivariate Extreme Value Theory:
    多变量极值理论

与极值相关的绘图:

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经典的书籍以及文章

  • E. Gilleland, M. Ribatet, A. Stephenson (2013). A Software Review for Extreme Value Analysis, Extremes , 16 , 103-119.
  • R.-D. Reiss, M. Thomas (2007). Statistical Analysis of Extreme Values with Applications to Insurance, Finance, Hydrology and Other Fields , Springer-Verlag.
  • L. de Haan, A. Ferreira (2006). Extreme Value Theory: An Introduction , Springer-Verlag.
  • J. Beirlant, Y. Goegebeur, J. Teugels, J. Segers (2004). Statistics of Extremes: Theory and Applications , John Wiley & Sons.
  • B. Finkenstaedt, H. Rootzen (2004). Extreme Values in Finance, Telecommunications, and the Environment , Chapman & Hall/CRC.
  • S. Coles (2001). An Introduction to Statistical Modeling of Extreme Values , Springer-Verlag.
  • P. Embrechts, C. Klueppelberg, T. Mikosch (1997). Modelling Extremal Events for Insurance and Finance , Springer-Verlag.
  • S.I. Resnick (1987). Extreme Values, Regular Variation and Point Processes , Springer-Verlag.
  • Smith, R.L. (1987). Approximations in extreme value theory. Technical report 205, Center for Stochastic Process, University of North Carolina, 1–34.
  • Suveges (2007) Likelihood estimation of the extremal index. Extremes, 10(1), 41-55.
  • Suveges and Davison (2010), Model misspecification in peaks over threshold analysis. Annals of Applied Statistics, 4(1), 203-221.
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