Part II:
The pace of change had not only quickened but was now happening at a global scale.
I. quicken:
世界变化的节奏快,2007年:
科技领域:GitHub,Twitter,YouTube,Facebook,Kindle等新兴科技公司技术大量出现,手机电脑,互联网快速改变人类的生活、社会生产等方式
生态环境:the beginning of the clean power revolution, 新型能源资源的开发,风能,太阳能,LED光能,资源节约能源的研发。
生物技术:DNA sequencing began to fall dramatically as the biotech industry shifted to new sequencing techniques and platforms. 生物技术领域的迅速转变,生物工程仪器设备的研发大大推动基因技术研究。
科学技术,全球化,气候环境三大因素推动世界快速前进。作者提出,这些推动因素能产生影响,离不开计算机领域的快速发展——摩尔定律
摩尔定律:1965 年 互联网创始人Gordon Moore 用来假定微芯片的速度、内存容量—that is, computational processing power—would double roughly every year, which he later updated to every two years, for only slightly more money with each new generation.
摩尔定律推动更多全球化,全球化促进更多生态环境气候改变;与此同时,摩尔定律也推动对于这些潜在变化的处理方式的产生,改变着现代生活的各个方面。
而当现实世界快速变化时,必存在跟不上变化节奏,便引起社会混乱和区域脱离。
Disruption:is what happens when someone does something clever that makes you or your company look obsolete.
Dislocation: is when the whole environment is being altered so quickly that everyone starts to feel they can't keep up.”
但快速发展也有一定时间窗
That time window—has become so short that it's on the order of five to seven years from the time something is introduced to being ubiquitous and the world being uncomfortably changed.”重大科技的创新进步,因为先前诸多的量变积累,而产生后5-7年内更多的是科技推广,创新发展步履放缓。
II. At a globe scale:
Eric Astro Teller, the CEO of Google's X research and development lab.
Astro Teller's Graph 的世界快速发展模型曲线:横轴时间,纵轴改变速率,曲线模型幂方程,从开始的时间积累到后期直线上升
At first it moves up very gradually, then it starts to slope higher as innovations build on innovations that have come before, and then it starts to soar straight to the sky.
Teller指出:曲线中间快速上升因为全球移动设备,云技术等科技的影响推动。作者通过某地方官员向财政部议员Summer转达电话指令,提出范围之广。