Mathmetical modeling Test1 (prepare before Wed.)

ProblemA Hurricanes and Global Warming

    Hurricanes (which also include storms known as ”typhoons” in the Northwest Pacific and”severe tropical cyclones” in the Indian Ocean and Southwest Pacific) areextremely destructive and often responsible for the deaths of hundreds andoccasionally thousands of people.

    Many meteorologists agree that global warming has occurred (around half degree C) inthe last several decades at the earth’s surface, and the trend is likely tocontinue. The problem is, what does global warming imply for hurricaneactivity? Please structure an reasonable model, measuring the extent of globalwarming and the strength of global hurricane activities, and estimating therelationship between them.



问题A  飓风和全球变暖

    飓风(也包括西北太平洋的"台风"和印度洋和西南太平洋的"严重热带气旋")极具破坏性,往往造成死亡成百上千的人。

    许多气象学家认为,全球变暖已经发生(大约半摄氏度),在过去几十年的地球表面,趋势很可能继续。问题是,全球变暖对飓风活动意味着什么?请构造一个合理的模型,测量全球变暖的程度和全球飓风活动的强度,并估计它们之间的关系。

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