我们在往期的每日行情解读中曾多次强调BTCUSD的5800美元支撑位(目前对BTCUSDT而言则是约6000美元)的重要性。BTCUSDT在再次下跌后向上试探6000美元可能性的再次减小,这意味着在当前的看空行情下想要看到价格快速上探该强劲压力位的可能性极低。在抛售引起价格下跌至4400美元后,BTCUSDT暂时仍维持这一价位,成交量也回到了相对较低范围。周一和周二的快速下跌对多头而言是积极的信号——和磨人的小幅波动相比,高波动性是更好的选择。我们在每日行情解读中通常不作推荐,但我们认为此次下跌的底部应该在4000-4500美元区间之间,且看好BTCUSDT重新向上试探5000-5500美元区间,在之前的下跌过程中该区间内的成交量非常小。
ETHBTC是主流竞争币中表现最弱的币种,目前在0.0285附近波动。其年内最低位是出现在九月中旬的0.0270。XRPBTC是表现最强势的主流竞争币,从周一的9000聪涨至周二的10000聪后的几天里,一直维持在9700聪附近。EOSBTC和LTCBTC表现相对稳定,目前分别为81500聪和0.0073。
Throughout these Daily Market Colours, we have constantly emphasisedthe importance of the 5.8k support level in BTCUSD, currently roughly 6k inBTCUSDT. The further inability of BTCUSDT to test 6k after the break wastelling; a very bearish event when we are unable to quickly retest such astrong support-turned-resistance. The sell-off to 4.4k, where BTCUSDT currentlytrades at, was on the back of relatively low volume. The quick sell-off overMonday and Tuesday is a positive sign for bulls – the high volatility is muchmore preferred than a slow grind. We usually don’t post recommendations in theDMC, but we see a bottom here in this range between 4k and 4.5k and expect tosee BTCUSDT retest the 5-5.5k range where we saw very little volume on the waydown.
ETHBTC appears to be the weakest of the major altcoins, trading at0.0285. Its yearly low was back in mid-September when it hit 0.0270. XRPBTC isthe strongest, trading up from 9k sats on Monday to 10k sats on Tuesday andmaintain a 9700 sat price since then. EOSBTC and LTCBTC have remained steady,at 81.5k sats and 0.0073 respectively.