<h1 style="box-sizing: border-box; break-after: avoid-page; break-inside: avoid; orphans: 4; font-size: 2.25em; margin-top: 1rem; margin-bottom: 1rem; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.2; cursor: text; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); white-space: pre-wrap; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>眼见不一定为实</strong></span></h1><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">我们从小就被教导“眼见为实”，仿佛眼睛看到的就是真相。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">但你有没有想过：你看到的，可能只是冰山一角？</span></p>
<h2 style="box-sizing: border-box; break-after: avoid-page; break-inside: avoid; orphans: 4; font-size: 1.75em; margin-top: 1rem; margin-bottom: 1rem; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.225; cursor: text; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); white-space: pre-wrap; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>01</strong></span></h2><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">《思考，快与慢》第七章有个核心概念：WYSIATI，What You See Is All There Is。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">翻译过来就是——“你所看到的，就是全部的信息。”</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">这个词是卡尼曼造的，意思很简单：
当你的大脑看到一点线索，它不会告诉自己“我只看到了局部，还有很多我不知道”，而是会直接默认“我现在看到的 就是全部真相”。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">于是，信息越少，你反而越自信。所以为什么会有古话说，“无知者无畏”。</span></p><h2 style="box-sizing: border-box; break-after: avoid-page; break-inside: avoid; orphans: 4; font-size: 1.75em; margin-top: 1rem; margin-bottom: 1rem; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.225; cursor: text; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); white-space: pre-wrap; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>02</strong></span></h2><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">书里有一个经典例子。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">如果我告诉你：“艾伦很勤奋，善良，爱帮助人。”</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">你会在一瞬间产生一个判断——艾伦是个好人，适合当领导。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">但你真的知道吗？</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">你不知道他是否负责、是否有能力、是否可靠。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">你仅有的信息只有“勤奋、善良、帮助人”这六个字，可你的大脑已经自动补全了一整个故事，并且对这个故事深信不疑。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">这就是系统1的运作方式——它像一台“急于下结论的机器”，只为了让世界变得合理、连贯，它会强行把碎片信息拼成一个完整故事，然后立刻告诉你：这就是真相。</span></p><h2 style="box-sizing: border-box; break-after: avoid-page; break-inside: avoid; orphans: 4; font-size: 1.75em; margin-top: 1rem; margin-bottom: 1rem; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.225; cursor: text; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); white-space: pre-wrap; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>03</strong></span></h2><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">生活中这样的例子比比皆是。</span></p><ul style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0.8em 0px; padding-left: 30px; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; orphans: 2; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; position: relative;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0px 0px 0.5rem; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; text-align: left;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">你看到同事在会议上反驳你，觉得他“针对你”。但你不知道他家中有事，心情烦躁。</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; position: relative;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0px 0px 0.5rem; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; text-align: left;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">你看到朋友圈有人晒旅游照片，觉得他“太清闲”。但你不知道他刚熬了三个大夜。</span></p></li><li style="box-sizing: border-box; margin: 0px; position: relative;"><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0px 0px 0.5rem; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; text-align: left;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">你看到别人买车买房，觉得“凭什么”。但你不知道他承担了多少压力和代价。</span></p></li></ul><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">我们看到的，往往只是结果，而不是过程；只是表象，而不是全部。</span></p><h2 style="box-sizing: border-box; break-after: avoid-page; break-inside: avoid; orphans: 4; font-size: 1.75em; margin-top: 1rem; margin-bottom: 1rem; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.225; cursor: text; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); white-space: pre-wrap; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>04</strong></span></h2><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">为什么会这样？</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">因为系统1——那个会自动快速反应的 System 1——不喜欢模糊、不确定、信息不全。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">它要的是连贯，是完整，是答案。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">它会迫不及待地帮你补全故事，帮你下结论，帮你形成判断。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">而系统2——那个理性的、慢思考的系统——往往很懒，懒到不会去质疑系统1给出的答案。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">所以我们很容易就会觉得：</span></p><blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; text-align: left;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">“我看到的，就是全部。”</span></p></blockquote><h2 style="box-sizing: border-box; break-after: avoid-page; break-inside: avoid; orphans: 4; font-size: 1.75em; margin-top: 1rem; margin-bottom: 1rem; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.225; cursor: text; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); white-space: pre-wrap; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>05</strong></span></h2><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">这让我想到一句老话：眼见为实，耳听为虚。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">但读完这一章我发现，眼见未必为实。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">因为耳朵听到的，你可以怀疑、可以查证；
但眼睛看到的，你往往毫无防备地就信了。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">而实际上，你看到的，永远只是你想看到的那个角度，永远只是真相的一个切面。</span></p><h2 style="box-sizing: border-box; break-after: avoid-page; break-inside: avoid; orphans: 4; font-size: 1.75em; margin-top: 1rem; margin-bottom: 1rem; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.225; cursor: text; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); white-space: pre-wrap; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>06</strong></span></h2><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">那么该怎么破？</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">卡尼曼没有给出特效药，但他指出了方向：</span></p><blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; text-align: left;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">当你想要下结论的时候，停一停，想一想——
“我现在掌握的信息，是全部吗？
还有没有我不知道的？
有没有可能是我漏掉了什么？”</span></p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">这不是否定你的直觉，而是给系统2一点时间，让它去审视系统1给出的答案。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>凡事别急于下结论。三思而后行，不是迂腐，是清醒。</strong></span></p>
<h2 style="box-sizing: border-box; break-after: avoid-page; break-inside: avoid; orphans: 4; font-size: 1.75em; margin-top: 1rem; margin-bottom: 1rem; position: relative; font-weight: bold; line-height: 1.225; cursor: text; border-bottom: 1px solid rgb(238, 238, 238); white-space: pre-wrap; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>写在最后</strong></span></h2><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">我们活在一个信息爆炸的时代，但信息越多，并不等于判断越准。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">相反，信息越多，系统1越容易被带跑，越容易在碎片中拼出一个似是而非的真相。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">所以，越是这样，越需要提醒自己：</span></p><blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; text-align: left;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;"><strong>我看到的，不是全部。</strong></span></p></blockquote><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">本文为《思考，快与慢》第7章 A Machine for Jumping to Conclusions ，读书笔记。</span></p><p style="box-sizing: border-box; line-height: inherit; orphans: 4; margin: 0.8em 0px; white-space: pre-wrap; position: relative; color: rgb(51, 51, 51); font-family: "Open Sans", "Clear Sans", "Helvetica Neue", Helvetica, Arial, "Segoe UI Emoji", sans-serif; font-size: 16px; font-style: normal; font-variant-ligatures: normal; font-variant-caps: normal; font-weight: 400; letter-spacing: normal; text-align: left; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; widows: 2; word-spacing: 0px; -webkit-text-stroke-width: 0px; text-decoration-thickness: initial; text-decoration-style: initial; text-decoration-color: initial;"><span style="box-sizing: border-box;">标题直译：一台急于下结论的机器，准确翻译，眼见即为事实。共勉。</span></p>
