(3)It is, of course, possible to follow all these steps and still make the wrong choice. But Sir Andrew argues that a sensible process improves the chance of getting it right. The temptation is to look at people's track records when assessing when they have good judgment, but luck may have played a huge part.
1 a sensible process:理性的进程
2 temptation [temp'teifan]:n.引诱;诱惑3 play a huge part:发挥重要作用【译文】
当然,即使遵循所有这些步骤,仍可能做出错误的选择。但安德鲁认为,理性的的过程可以提高做出正确选择的几率。在评估某人是否具有良好判断力时,人们往往禁不住要去查看他的过往记录,但其中好运可能起了巨大的作用。